Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1347 HK/ACMR US: Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II begins tool move-in (+/+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/BIDU US/0175 HK: “Xiaomi criticized for selling cars at a loss” goes viral (+/-/-)</li>
<li>2150 HK:Nayuki's First Overseas Flagship Store Opens in Thailand (+)</li>
</ul>


1347 HK/ACMR US: Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II begins tool move-in (+/+)
1810 HK/BIDU US/0175 HK: “Xiaomi criticized for selling cars at a loss” goes viral (+/-/-)
2150 HK:Nayuki's First Overseas Flagship Store Opens in Thailand (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1347HK/ACMR/1810HK/BIDU/175HK/1211HK/NIO/XPEV/TSLA/LI/2150HK/1519HK/ZTO/1810HK

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Another set of strong results from YMM, revenue and core earnings both up</li>
<li>Need to monitor orders per MAU; reason for decline in Q224 unclear</li>
<li>Maintain US$9.45/ADS target price, ADSs are attractive closer to US$7</li>
</ul>


Another set of strong results from YMM, revenue and core earnings both up
Need to monitor orders per MAU; reason for decline in Q224 unclear
Maintain US$9.45/ADS target price, ADSs are attractive closer to US$7


Full Truck Alliance Q224 Results: Generally Strong Growth | Attractive Closer to US$7 Per ADS

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Core net profit grew 10% YoY. Reported net income in 2Q24 increased 3% YoY to RMB2.6bn, due to an impairment of RMB194mn (investment in Zhejiang Yizhan Network, a subsidiary of Cainiao Smart Logistics).</li><li>Excluding the one-off items, the adjusted net profit grew 10% YoY to RMB2.74bn.</li><li>The earnings growth was driven by (1) 10% YoY revenue growth, (2) a stable gross margin, and (3) an 82% YoY increase in net finance income.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Core net profit grew 10% YoY. Reported net income in 2Q24 increased 3% YoY to RMB2.6bn, due to an impairment of RMB194mn (investment in Zhejiang Yizhan Network, a subsidiary of Cainiao Smart Logistics).Excluding the one-off items, the adjusted net profit grew 10% YoY to RMB2.74bn.The earnings growth was driven by (1) 10% YoY revenue growth, (2) a stable gross margin, and (3) an 82% YoY increase in net finance income.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTO Express (ZTO US) - 2Q24 Core Earnings +10% with Stable Unit Margin

<ul>
<li>Headline numbers for ZTO in Q224 were +10% Revenue, +12% EBITDA</li>
<li>But gross margin in core express segment fell, as did Operating Cash Flow</li>
<li>ZTO left guidance unchanged for FY24; we recommend investors AVOID it</li>
</ul>


Headline numbers for ZTO in Q224 were +10% Revenue, +12% EBITDA
But gross margin in core express segment fell, as did Operating Cash Flow
ZTO left guidance unchanged for FY24; we recommend investors AVOID it


ZTO Express Q224 Results: Slow Top-Line Growth | Margin Compression in Core Express Business | AVOID

<ul>
<li>LKNCY US: The drink "Tengyun American" coffee package jointly launched by Luckin and "Black Myth: Wukong" game was sold out in its first day （/）</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume grew ~29% y-o-y (+)</li>
<li>Consumer Industry update:China's Retail Industry Prosperity Index moderate rebound in August, mainly from offline retail recovery. (+)</li>
</ul>


LKNCY US: The drink "Tengyun American" coffee package jointly launched by Luckin and "Black Myth: Wukong" game was sold out in its first day （/）
1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume grew ~29% y-o-y (+)
Consumer Industry update:China's Retail Industry Prosperity Index moderate rebound in August, mainly from offline retail recovery. (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1519 HK/ZTO US/BZ US/1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

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ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1347HK/ACMR/1810HK/BIDU/175HK/1211HK/NIO/XPEV/TSLA/LI/2150HK/1519HK/ZTO/1810HK

Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II starts tool move-in, Xiaomi faces backlash for selling cars at a loss, Nayuki opens first overseas store in Thailand.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Full Truck Alliance Q224 Results: Generally Strong Growth | Attractive Closer to US$7 Per ADS

Full Truck Alliance reported another strong set of numbers in Q224. After a surprisng Y/Y decline in orders per MAU, we will monitor this number...

Tracking Traffic

ZTO Express (ZTO US) - 2Q24 Core Earnings +10% with Stable Unit Margin

ZTO Express (ZTO) continued its strategic focus on profitable growth in 2Q24. Core net profit in 2Q24 grew 10% YoY to RMB2.74bn, which is largely...

CMB International

ZTO Express Q224 Results: Slow Top-Line Growth | Margin Compression in Core Express Business | AVOID

ZTO's headline Q224 numbers look OK, but they don't paint an accurate picture of what's happening in the core express segment. We suggest investors...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1519 HK/ZTO US/BZ US/1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US

Luckin and "Black Myth: Wukong" game's coffee collaboration sells out in first day, parcel volume grows 29% y-o-y, China's Retail Industry sees...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1347HK/ACMR/1810HK/BIDU/175HK/1211HK/NIO/XPEV/TSLA/LI/2150HK/1519HK/ZTO/1810HK

​Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II starts tool move-in, Xiaomi faces backlash for selling cars at a loss, Nayuki opens first overseas store in Thailand.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Full Truck Alliance Q224 Results: Generally Strong Growth | Attractive Closer to US$7 Per ADS

Full Truck Alliance reported another strong set of numbers in Q224. After a surprisng Y/Y decline in orders per MAU, we will monitor this number...

Tracking Traffic

ZTO Express (ZTO US) - 2Q24 Core Earnings +10% with Stable Unit Margin

ZTO Express (ZTO) continued its strategic focus on profitable growth in 2Q24. Core net profit in 2Q24 grew 10% YoY to RMB2.74bn, which is largely...

CMB International

ZTO Express Q224 Results: Slow Top-Line Growth | Margin Compression in Core Express Business | AVOID

ZTO's headline Q224 numbers look OK, but they don't paint an accurate picture of what's happening in the core express segment. We suggest investors...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LKNCY US/1519 HK/ZTO US/BZ US/1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US

​Luckin and "Black Myth: Wukong" game's coffee collaboration sells out in first day, parcel volume grows 29% y-o-y, China's Retail Industry sees...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hua Hong Wuxi Fab Phase II starts tool move-in, Xiaomi faces backlash for selling cars at a loss, Nayuki opens first overseas store in Thailand.

Luckin and "Black Myth: Wukong" game's coffee collaboration sells out in first day, parcel volume grows 29% y-o-y, China's Retail Industry sees...