Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Over 20 years of sell-side research experience across Global Metals & Mining, Cement, Industrials, and Commodities. Extensive first-hand mine and plant visits spanning India, Australia, China, the US, and the UK.
Hundreds of buy-side engagements across major global financial hubs in Asia, North America, and Europe. Also led a comprehensive client tour of China to deepen industry understanding.

Focused on fundamentals-driven analysis including earnings modeling, cost structures, and valuations using DCF and relative multiples. Global commodity cycles, supply-demand trends, and macro factors are integrated into sector calls. Research prioritizes inflection points from price, cost, and policy shifts, using a disciplined bottom-up approach supported by top-down macro screening.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Advantest (6857 JP) enjoys a near-monopoly in advanced SoC and memory testing, entrenched at TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix, making it the structural gatekeeper of the AI supply chain.</li>
<li>The company is scaling capacity by 70% in FY25 and investing in next-gen chiplet and system-level test platforms to capture future AI/HBM growth.</li>
<li>At ~35× P/E and ~23× EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a premium that reflects record margins and 25%+ CAGR, risks include AI capex cyclicality, Taiwan/Korea dependence, China restrictions, and FX.</li>
</ul>


Advantest (6857 JP) enjoys a near-monopoly in advanced SoC and memory testing, entrenched at TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix, making it the structural gatekeeper of the AI supply chain.
The company is scaling capacity by 70% in FY25 and investing in next-gen chiplet and system-level test platforms to capture future AI/HBM growth.
At ~35× P/E and ~23× EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a premium that reflects record margins and 25%+ CAGR, risks include AI capex cyclicality, Taiwan/Korea dependence, China restrictions, and FX.


TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

Advantest Corp (6857 JP) – From Cyclical Tester OEM to Structural AI Bottleneck