Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Was on the buyside for 15 years, most recently at a medium-sized boutique asset management firm. I grew up in Europe, went to university in the US and have been living in Singapore for the last 7 years which has given me a broad scope on the world and investing in general.

Consider myself a generalist investor with a preference for small and mid-cap companies and special situations. However, a large cap that has gone temporarily out of favor might also pique my interest. 

My style of investing could be categorized as more of value investor, rather than growth at any cost. Learning from Charlie Munger on the importance of quality of a company has been of tremendous value over the years.I like businesses with real earnings, cash flows, dividends, book value and insider ownership.

Insight Provider

Aem Holdings: Raises Guidance for FY21, New Customer Wins in FY22 to Drive Re-Rating to 8 SGD

AEM Holdings: 2H21 Revenue Acceleration to Continue into FY22. Fair Value Maintained at 8 SGD

AEM: Increased FY22 Revenue Guidance; Riding on Intel's Capex Binge into Multi-Year Ramp

AEM Holding: Aggressively Buying Their Own Stock; Historically Pre-Cursor to Strong Performance

AEM Holdings: Optimistic on FY21; Fair Value Remains at 5 SGD (41% Upside)

AEM: Temporary Weakness Creates Buying Opportunity Going into New Product Cycle as of 3Q21

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aem-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11019:1" rel="noopener">AEM (AEM SP)</a> reported weak results last week but subsequently announced a 103 million SGD investment by Temasek. The Temasek investment comes ahead of an expected strong 2H21 and 2022 but more importantly right ahead of probable new major customer wins. As well documented AEM is highly dependent on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> for 80% of its revenues and needs new customers to diversify. Management has quietly been forming new relationships and is in various trial phases with some of the largest semiconductor companies other than Intel. During 1Q21's conf call we first heard of management's growing optimism and this was again reiterated in 2Q21.On the 3Q20 call AEM's Chairman Loke Wai San was asked if he would consider a Nasdaq listing. His answer at the time was "once we get to a billion USD market cap we can consider it". The combination of the Temasek investment and the anticipated major new customer wins will likely get us there. In this regard <a href="https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sgx-and-nasdaq-extend-partnership-to-help-firms-access-capital" target="_blank" rel="noopener">please recall</a> that in July 2020 SGX and Nasdaq agreed to make "dual-listings" between both exchanges easier. What better company to kick-off this agreement than AEM?Fair Value increases to 8 SGD (20x P/E on 0.40 SGD FY22 EPS). Recall, AEM already earned 0.35 SGD EPS in 2020, so assuming new customer wins materialize 0.40 SGD is not a stretch.

AEM (AEM SP) reported weak results last week but subsequently announced a 103 million SGD investment by Temasek. The Temasek investment comes ahead of an expected strong 2H21 and 2022 but more importantly right ahead of probable new major customer wins. As well documented AEM is highly dependent on Intel Corp (INTC US) for 80% of its revenues and needs new customers to diversify. Management has quietly been forming new relationships and is in various trial phases with some of the largest semiconductor companies other than Intel. During 1Q21's conf call we first heard of management's growing optimism and this was again reiterated in 2Q21.On the 3Q20 call AEM's Chairman Loke Wai San was asked if he would consider a Nasdaq listing. His answer at the time was "once we get to a billion USD market cap we can consider it". The combination of the Temasek investment and the anticipated major new customer wins will likely get us there. In this regard please recall that in July 2020 SGX and Nasdaq agreed to make "dual-listings" between both exchanges easier. What better company to kick-off this agreement than AEM?Fair Value increases to 8 SGD (20x P/E on 0.40 SGD FY22 EPS). Recall, AEM already earned 0.35 SGD EPS in 2020, so assuming new customer wins materialize 0.40 SGD is not a stretch.

AEM: Temasek Investment + New Customers = Pre-Cursor to Nasdaq Listing? Fair Value to 8 SGD