Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

China Internet Weekly (15Aug2022): Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, TikTok, JD, NetEase, Dingdong

China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery

China Internet Weekly (26Sep2022): S.F., STO, YTO, Yunda, JD Logistics, Alibaba, Baidu, Trip.com

Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Lowest Growth, Will Recover in December Quarter, Buy

China Internet Weekly (1Aug2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, JD Logistics, MissFresh

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Bifurcated Chinese Express Market Developing

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba’s revenue stopped growing for the first time on record.</li>
<li>We still believe the revenue growth rate will recover in the December quarter.</li>
<li>We believe the stock price will have at least an upside of 29% after a significant plunge.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba’s revenue stopped growing for the first time on record.
We still believe the revenue growth rate will recover in the December quarter.
We believe the stock price will have at least an upside of 29% after a significant plunge.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Zero Growth for First Time, But Overly Sold, Buy