Ankit Agrawal, CFA

I possess investment research experience across asset classes and geographies, acquired at Investcorp (New York) and Howe & Rusling (Rochester). At Investcorp, an alternative asset manager, I was part of an investment team managing >$1bn in discretionary client assets. I was also a member of investment recommendation, monitoring, cross-asset strategy and macro outlook committees that met periodically for investment decisions and top-down views. At Howe & Rusling, a long-only asset manager, I helped cover US large-cap equity investments across sectors for growth and income focused portfolios as well as assisted in managing a US small-cap growth focused equity portfolio. I possess an MBA in finance and corporate accounting from University of Rochester in US, a CFA Charter, and an Engineering degree from Indian Institute of Technology Bombay in India.  

My current focus is L/S equity fundamental research across market cap and sectors with an eye on corporate governance and forensic accounting. I am currently based in India and my current coverage universe is biased towards India.

Regulatory Disclosure: Note that I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst vide registration number INH000007216.

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Actionable bottom-up long/short Insights on equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Bajaj Finance Limited is a financial services company that operates branches in India, which provide an assortment of financial services.

<ul>
<li>Sampyo Cement which is currently included in KOSDAQ150 is likely to be removed from this index in the coming months as the company wants to move to KOSPI.</li>
<li>If Sampyo Cement is excluded from KOSDAQ150, we estimate there could be about 9 billion won worth of passive funds which could exit the stock. ADTV is 1.6 billion won.</li>
<li>Therefore, we believe Sampyo Cement's shares could face further weakness in the next several months. It will hold an EGM to vote on the move to KOSPI on 4 July.</li>
</ul>

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, New Economy, IPOs, Events

<ul>
<li>MFEA lower-voting ordinary shares are trading at a 33.6% discount relative to the MFEB high-ordinary shares, which seems excessive (and above the 32% average since listing of A-shares).</li>
<li>If the offer for TL5 SM succeeds, MFEA would represent 0.68x the number of MFEB and 6.81x the number of votes of MFEB, thus increased percentage of votes and liquidity.</li>
<li>Estimated settlement of the takeover is 1 September. I target a 25% discount and recommend long 1 MFEA IM/short 1 MFEB IM.</li>
</ul>

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

European Event-driven Analyst

<ul>
<li>The dollar has strengthened significantly since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has led to a broad risk-off environment. Among EM currencies, the worst performer has been the Hungarian forint. </li>
<li>Adding to the economic woes resulting from Russia's aggression, the forint has suffered as the central bank has signaled less aggressive monetary tightening even with inflation hitting a two-decade high.</li>
<li>PM Orban has worsened the situation with his pre-election spending and by going against the EU by resisting further sanctions on Russia. Relatedly, funding from the EU is at risk.</li>
</ul>

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

<ul>
<li>Employment increased ahead of April’s jobs tax hike, and vacancies since then stayed high. Hours have also recovered despite depressed self-employment levels.</li>
<li>Firms appear to be focusing on retention, with bonus payments surging while regular pay growth slows. Nonetheless, wage settlements have been their highest since 2008.</li>
<li>This combination of rising wage deals and falling unemployment looks to be around a cyclical peak in underlying inflation pressures, probably pushing the BoE to hike in June.</li>
</ul>

Phil Rush

Chief Economist

<ul>
<li>Ong Choo Eng and his son Ong Eng Yaw, together with Roswell Assets, Dymon Asia Private Equity, and Crytalic Star have launched a voluntary Offer for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong (HWAH SP)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>The S$0.37/share Offer is a nine-year high and a 27.6% premium to last close. It has not been declared final. </li>
<li>However, it appears not all of the founding members of the company are on the same page. The family fissure became public after the last independent director resigned this month. </li>
</ul>

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a> reported strong growth across segments. With the environment normalizing, BAF’s management was upbeat and is focused on growth going forward. </li>
<li>The demand environment also remains robust and BAF is well placed to benefit from it. Digitization is likely to play a pivotal role going forward.  </li>
<li>BAF is on an ambitious digital-first pivot to catalyze growth and embrace technology as a multiplier to scale its business to the next level.</li>
</ul>

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

<ul>
<li>There are 22 deletions for the MSCI Japan Index at the May SAIR. The changes were expected and there is large short buildup on quite a few of the stocks.</li>
<li>Over the last month, the largest increase in shorts as a percentage of passive selling was on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-century-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8053:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Century Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohgo-security-services-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14181:1" rel="noopener">Sohgo Security Services</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pola-orbis-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2287:1" rel="noopener">Pola Orbis Holdings</a>.</li>
<li>The deletions have underperformed the TOPIX by 22% over the last 6 months and by 10% over the last two months. Position for a bounce post implementation.</li>
</ul>

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)</a> will soon spin out its Lottery and Keno business, to be called <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp (TLC AU)</a>. TAH shares go ex-TLC on 24 May.  </li>
<li>The question is where do they trade. What is in the price? What is not? What are the potential index implications?</li>
<li>This insight provides a grid of index implications and pro-forma valuations (EV/EBITDA, PER, Dividend Yield) for each and both and the combined entity.</li>
</ul>

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/faith-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14455:1" rel="noopener">Faith Inc (4295 JP)</a> is a very smallcap contents management and platform business. As a business, one could give it a miss forever, but it is cash-rich. </li>
<li>The company is doing a very large buyback, and for someone who decided they'd be interested, there is a large block for sale. </li>
<li>The thing is... one would have to act quickly and aggressively.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>KDIC is looking to sell around half of its remaining stake in Woori Financial Group (WFG).</li>
<li>This is almost a clean-up trade considering that KDIC had a stake of nearly 18% at the start of 2021 and will now be reduced to a less than 2%.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>

Bajaj Finance Ltd

Bajaj Finance: Focus on Growth Is Back – Digitization Is Pivotal