Beyond Meat 3Q21: Weak Sales/Guidance, Weaker Margins. Downside Risk.

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Falling analyst estimates can point to good short candidates.  This is especially true given Wall Street perpetual bias towards buy recommendations.   </li>
<li>The key judgement involves whether the negative sales or estimate revision is temporary or if they are indications of continuing weakness in the business. </li>
<li>These shorts can have very disparate characteristics: they can have high or low beta, be expensive or cheap, be favored or shunned.</li>
</ul>


Falling analyst estimates can point to good short candidates.  This is especially true given Wall Street perpetual bias towards buy recommendations.   
The key judgement involves whether the negative sales or estimate revision is temporary or if they are indications of continuing weakness in the business. 
These shorts can have very disparate characteristics: they can have high or low beta, be expensive or cheap, be favored or shunned.


Breaking Estimates Short Model Flags Beyond Meat, Zillow, Purple & Chegg