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Can El Niño rescue Europe's gas winter?
SUMMARY
- A historically strong El Niño will not rescue Europe’s gas winter.
- Even if the winter runs 1 °C warmer than normal, Europe will need at least 7 million tonnes more LNG than last year, according to Rystad Energy – only at +2 °C does demand fall back to last winter’s level.
- El Niño mainly eases early winter, while the cold risk shifts to February and March, when storage, currently at a record low, will be emptiest.
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- Can El Niño rescue Europe's gas winter?13 Oct 2026
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