Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nigel Chiang

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

China: Soft Landing Despite Intensified Headwinds

The US-UK-Australia Pact Could Reduce, Not Raise Asian Political Risks

China: What Do the Latest Policy Signals Mean for the Economy?

China: Xi Seeks to Remake the Economy and Society

China: Aggressive Stimulus Still Unlikely; Are There Silver Linings in the Regulatory Blitz?

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<p>Chinese trade and monetary data depict an economy moving in line with what the policymakers are comfortable with, i.e., slowing to a trend rate that the authorities can live with. We expect only modest policy changes.</p><p>We continue to view our full-year GDP growth forecast of 8.2%, which assumes average sequential (i.e. q/q sa) growth of 0.5% in the third and fourth quarters, or approximately half the 0.9% average in the first and second quarters, as achievable in spite of the relatively soft state of domestic demand, and we are currently tracking 3Q21 GDP at 4.1%.</p>

Chinese trade and monetary data depict an economy moving in line with what the policymakers are comfortable with, i.e., slowing to a trend rate that the authorities can live with. We expect only modest policy changes.We continue to view our full-year GDP growth forecast of 8.2%, which assumes average sequential (i.e. q/q sa) growth of 0.5% in the third and fourth quarters, or approximately half the 0.9% average in the first and second quarters, as achievable in spite of the relatively soft state of domestic demand, and we are currently tracking 3Q21 GDP at 4.1%.

China: Calling the Bottom in Activity Growth