Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Highly experienced sell-side analyst with more than ten years of experience in the field of China’s in-depth policy-driven macro research in China (Beijing) .
Covering in equity research in HK and Mainland market mainly real estate, construction,steel sector.
The Ideas generation based on an analysis of China’s future direction and policy decisions fundamental analysis on sector impact, market drivers, timing and scale, combined with quantitative analysis.

China Tightens Domestic Bond Issuance Threshold for Property Developers

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China Real estate management and development / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

For China regulator, the challenge is to keep the economic ship steady while avoiding creating asset market bubble such as real estate sector. Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor at the PBOC, said last week the central bank would focus on improving the macro-prudential monitoring, evaluating, and alerting systems in key areas including real estate financing.
We believe PBOC liquidity policy object towards real estate is adjusting from a reasonably hands-off approach in H1 to allow the property to support growth to mixed goals: curbing financial risks (developer debt/fast-rising land prices) and still allowing a property to support growth (given macro risks).
There are signs of a more stringent real estate financial regime in Q4 as regulators are seeking more transparency from property developers, calling for more details about current debts, to rein in borrowing costs and quell broader financial impacts.

For China regulator, the challenge is to keep the economic ship steady while avoiding creating asset market bubble such as real estate sector. Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor at the PBOC, said last week the central bank would focus on improving the macro-prudential monitoring, evaluating, and alerting systems in key areas including real estate financing.
We believe PBOC liquidity policy object towards real estate is adjusting from a reasonably hands-off approach in H1 to allow the property to support growth to mixed goals: curbing financial risks (developer debt/fast-rising land prices) and still allowing a property to support growth (given macro risks).
There are signs of a more stringent real estate financial regime in Q4 as regulators are seeking more transparency from property developers, calling for more details about current debts, to rein in borrowing costs and quell broader financial impacts.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

China Merchants Shekou Industr (001979 CH)

China Developer Bond Issuance Still Grow Despite Tightening