Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

US Large Banks - Weekly B/S Update: $3bn Less Loans, $16bn More Jumbo Deposits, CRE Loans Nearly -Ve

US Banks - Small Banks' CRE Loan Share Up Weekly, Now 66.1% | Mtg Loan App's Index -5.7% In the Week

China Zheshang Bank- Substandard Loans 66% of NPLs from 21% | NCO's Avg RMB7.5bn Vs RMB1.6bn In Past

EM By EM #17 China: Real Estate Complex and The “Phony” Stimulus

China Watch: The People’s Bank Pickle – is 7.30 the line in the sand?

China Deflation Watch – What Happens in China Stays in China

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
 China’s economy is not anything like as ‘bad’ as being reported by the popular media. Yet, there are deep structural challenges which will hinder future economic growth</li>
<li>Monetary policy makers have recently been constrained by the weak Yuan (CNY)
</li>
<li>
 Liquidity is now being re-injected aggressively. More liquidity boosts economic activity. The cost could be a CNY of RMB8/ US$</li>
</ul>



 China’s economy is not anything like as ‘bad’ as being reported by the popular media. Yet, there are deep structural challenges which will hinder future economic growth
Monetary policy makers have recently been constrained by the weak Yuan (CNY)


 Liquidity is now being re-injected aggressively. More liquidity boosts economic activity. The cost could be a CNY of RMB8/ US$


Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

China Is Adding to World Liquidity, But At A Cost…