Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

China Mobile (941 HK) Poised for Pullback: A Tactical Low-Cost Options Play With High Upside

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Mobile, Sinopec, Smic, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou

HK Short Interest Weekly: Pop Mart, Beigene, Xiaomi

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Zto Express, Wuxi Apptec, Anta Sports, Midea

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>On April 22, 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> reported its Q1 2025 financial results, revenues substantially unchanged, but increase in net income and subscriber growth indicates resilience in its operations. </li>
<li>The initial market reaction suggests mild disappointment, the stock retreated to a low &lt;80 intra-week, then closed the week down at 80.85.</li>
<li>Our price model shows an oversold state, while the time model indicates there is room for another week down, possibly a buy-the-dip opportunity (3 weeks down should be the limit). </li>
</ul>


On April 22, 2025, China Mobile (941 HK) reported its Q1 2025 financial results, revenues substantially unchanged, but increase in net income and subscriber growth indicates resilience in its operations. 
The initial market reaction suggests mild disappointment, the stock retreated to a low &lt;80 intra-week, then closed the week down at 80.85.
Our price model shows an oversold state, while the time model indicates there is room for another week down, possibly a buy-the-dip opportunity (3 weeks down should be the limit). 


China Mobile (941 HK) Tactical Outlook Following Q1 2025 Results