HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Over 15 years' experience in both finance and healthcare, covering clinic operations, investment and equity research in both China and overseas.

China Resources Sanjiu (000999.CH) - 2023 Results Below Expectations; Short-Term Headwinds Remain

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) - 24H1 Looks Challenging, but Things Get Better in 24H2

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) - Optimistic About the Outlook Despite Short-Term Headwinds

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - Gold Content Of License-Out Deals, NRDL Pricing Levels, CR Sanjiu

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) - Strong Growth Momentum Is Expected to Continue in 2023

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) - The Privatization Rumor and the Outlook

Equity Bottom-Up

China Shineway Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shineway’s performance growth in 23Q1-Q3 slowed obviously. The big decrease in sales growth of injection products and TCM formula granule products would drag down the overall revenue growth in 23H2. </li>
<li>Due to TCM formula granules VBP, the 60%-75% gross profit margin level is hard to sustain. TCM formula granules business would enter an era of low profits but high sales.</li>
<li>Shineway’s cash balance is RMB5.4 billion, but market value is about RMB5.39 billion. So, Shineway is undervalued. The Company's two dividends next year could reach RMB50 cents per share.</li>
</ul>


Shineway’s performance growth in 23Q1-Q3 slowed obviously. The big decrease in sales growth of injection products and TCM formula granule products would drag down the overall revenue growth in 23H2. 
Due to TCM formula granules VBP, the 60%-75% gross profit margin level is hard to sustain. TCM formula granules business would enter an era of low profits but high sales.
Shineway’s cash balance is RMB5.4 billion, but market value is about RMB5.39 billion. So, Shineway is undervalued. The Company's two dividends next year could reach RMB50 cents per share.


China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) - Performance Pressure Is About to Emerge