bullish

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Boom in 2024 New Year Travel Demand

1.3k Views26 Dec 2023 09:00
Boomeranged on Fri, 29 Dec 2023 11:20
China's National Immigration Administration estimates there will be 1.56m travelers passing through immigration during the 2024 Chinese New Year holidays, a more than 5x YoY increase. This also equals to over 90% of the 2019 CNY holidays volume, suggesting almost full recovery to the pre-COVID level. This indicates good underlying demand and is positive for the tourism and hospitality sector.
SUMMARY
  • Data from Trip.com Group (9961 HK) showed good improvement in travel demand for the 2024 New Year holidays. The volume of various orders has surged between 2x and 5x YoY.
  • Aggregate net profit for the tourism and hospitality sector has turned around to Rmb20.4bn in 3Q23, from losses of Rmb24.7bn a year ago, demonstrating solid profitability recovery.
  • An average of 32% drop in the sector's share price YTD is unjustified. We like Tongcheng Travel (780 HK), Air China (H) (753 HK) and Fosun Tourism (1992 HK).
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Rising
Osbert Tang, CFA
HK/China Equity Long-Short
Hong Kong & ChinaIndustrials & UtilitiesEquity Bottom-UpThematic (Sector/Industry)
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