Materials| Industrials |Commodities

Rahul Jain

Over 20 years of sell-side research experience across Indian Metals & Mining, Cement, Industrials, and Commodities. Focused on fundamentals-driven analysis including earnings modeling, cost structures, and valuations using DCF and relative multiples. Global commodity cycles, supply-demand trends, and macro factors are integrated into sector calls. Research prioritizes inflection points from price, cost, and policy shifts, using a disciplined bottom-up approach supported by top-down macro screening.

Post Results FY24: Mine-By-Mine Plan Production + Commentary on Copper From Global Listed Companies

Copper Tracker 3rd March 2025: China TSF And PMI Rebound A Major Boost, All Eyes On the NPC

Antofagasta (ANTO LN): Good Set of Results, Capex Acceleration of >50%

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hindustan Copper (HCP IN) India’s only pure-play copper miner – could see earnings surge &gt;60% if current price buoyancy sustains.</li>
<li>Copper rally appears drive by fundamentals with several large miners such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freeport-mcmoran-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12491:1" rel="noopener">Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anglo-american-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21798:1" rel="noopener">Anglo American (AAL LN)</a> guiding declines.</li>
<li>Mining costs are largely location-specific and track inflation trends, supporting significant topline buoyancy.</li>
</ul>


Hindustan Copper (HCP IN) India’s only pure-play copper miner – could see earnings surge &gt;60% if current price buoyancy sustains.
Copper rally appears drive by fundamentals with several large miners such as Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US)BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) and Anglo American (AAL LN) guiding declines.
Mining costs are largely location-specific and track inflation trends, supporting significant topline buoyancy.


Copper Up 26% YoY, Now at All-Time Highs – Key Drivers