Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

Morning Market Notes: Oil Prices Say a Deal Is Near; Our Energy Equities Suggest Otherwise

Oil futures: Crude rebounds as Hormuz, CPC disruptions eyed

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Crude Oil Futures dropped 6% on Monday, our model flagged asymmetric upside risk. We will use the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-states-oil-fund-lp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:174:1" rel="noopener">United States Oil Fund LP (USO US)</a> ETF for this analysis.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-states-oil-fund-lp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:174:1" rel="noopener">USO</a> is reaching the lower WEEKLY support levels on our model. This means that oil may briefly jump higher, once this weekly correction settles, this week.</li>
<li>
<strong>We expect the correction to end probably this week</strong>, barring major unpredictable events driven by decisions made by the US Gov, like 'peace at any cost'.</li>
</ul>


Crude Oil Futures dropped 6% on Monday, our model flagged asymmetric upside risk. We will use the United States Oil Fund LP (USO US) ETF for this analysis.

USO is reaching the lower WEEKLY support levels on our model. This means that oil may briefly jump higher, once this weekly correction settles, this week.

We expect the correction to end probably this week, barring major unpredictable events driven by decisions made by the US Gov, like 'peace at any cost'.


Crude Oil Tactical Outlook: Bottom Near, May Rise Again