Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

Key Markets Tactical Outlooks and Implied Ranges After 1st Week of War in Iran

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (February 2026)

Overview #52 – Oil Shocks, De-Grossing, and Trend Breaks?

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)</a> April26 Futures reached extreme levels on Monday, touching 119.48, then retreated sharply to 95.67 around mid-day Chicago time. That is a -20% retreat, <strong>not bullish</strong>.</li>
<li>In a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/key-markets-tactical-outlooks-and-implied-ranges-after-us-strike-on-iran" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous analysis</a> we predicted prices north of 80 (our model peak was 84), and a multi-week rally. However this sharp retreat may be signaling a resistance.</li>
<li>In this insight we will analyze where NYMEX Crude Oil April 26 futures can find support, in case there is a continued sell-off, to buy if the Iran war continues.</li>
</ul>



Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY) April26 Futures reached extreme levels on Monday, touching 119.48, then retreated sharply to 95.67 around mid-day Chicago time. That is a -20% retreat, not bullish.
In a previous analysis we predicted prices north of 80 (our model peak was 84), and a multi-week rally. However this sharp retreat may be signaling a resistance.
In this insight we will analyze where NYMEX Crude Oil April 26 futures can find support, in case there is a continued sell-off, to buy if the Iran war continues.


Crude Oil Tactical View After -20% Price Retreat from Monday’s Highs