Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Asian Hedge Fund manager based in HK/SG with over 20 years of experience managing Asian Long/Short Equity funds. Macroeconomic top-down analysis generates thematic investments that are further researched from the bottom-up. Research is supplemented with advanced technical analysis. 
Previous experience includes M&A with Morgan Stanley and CPA with Deloitte in NYC. Wharton MBA.

CHARTING COURSE: Is Oil Sticky?, China's Long-Term Planning Pays Off, Unconditional Surrender?

Charting Course: TACO TUESDAY, INVESTORS SEEKING "BOMB SHELTERS" - (April 8th)

CHINA FERTILIZER INDUSTRY: Waiting for the Harvest!

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

CHARTING COURSE: U.S. Waves the White Flag, "Lucky Trades", and the War's Inflation Tax (3/26/26)

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Sorting out the noise from true market signals is challenging in the current environment, with conflicting media accounts on the war in Iran.</li>
<li>Peace negotiations and daily oil price fluctuations are noise, while Hormuz crossings, treasury yields, long-term oil prices, and stock market technical indicators are investment signals.</li>
<li>Global markets remain hopeful of a quick resolution to the war and return to normal oil and gas shipments from the Gulf; however, investment signals are diverging from that view.</li>
</ul>


Sorting out the noise from true market signals is challenging in the current environment, with conflicting media accounts on the war in Iran.
Peace negotiations and daily oil price fluctuations are noise, while Hormuz crossings, treasury yields, long-term oil prices, and stock market technical indicators are investment signals.
Global markets remain hopeful of a quick resolution to the war and return to normal oil and gas shipments from the Gulf; however, investment signals are diverging from that view.


Donald-In-Wonderland: SEPARATING NOISE FROM SIGNAL