Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

I investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Doosan Heavy/Infracore Corporate Actions Walkthrough & KOSPI 200 Index Treatments

How Would We Capitalize on a Massive Discount Present on Doosan Infracore Business Unit?

Doosan Infracore Rebalancing Trading on June 28 & Outright Short-Selling Opportunity

Doosan Infracore: Investco Split Off & Merger Ratio Announced

Creditors and the Market Like the New Doosan Infracore Split-Off and M&A Plan

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>The split ratio (Infracore) is 0.6895026. The one to merge with Heavy takes 0.6895026.</p><p>Then, the merger ratio is 0.6866211, making the swap ratio 0.4734270.</p><p>The remaining 0.3104974 of Infracore will remain on KOSPI with the ticker 042670.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'>Swap ratio</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore split ratio"}'>Doosan Infracore split ratio</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6895026}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}'>0.6895026</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Merger ratio with Doosan Heavy"}'>Merger ratio with Doosan Heavy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6866211}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}'>0.6866211</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio with Doosan Heavy"}'>Swap ratio with Doosan Heavy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.47342703366485994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-1]C[0]">0.4734270</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio based on the merger price"}'>Swap ratio based on the merger price</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Doosan Infracore Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"042670"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='="042670"'>042670</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Merger price"}'>Merger price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":7827}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>₩7,827</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Merger price after split"}'>Post-split merger price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5396.7368502}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-9]C[0]">₩5,397</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"034020"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='="034020"'>034020</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Merger price"}'>Merger price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":11400}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>₩11,400</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'>Merger price-based swap ratio</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.47342703366485994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-11]C[0]">0.4734270</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Infracore soared 21.82% yesterday. Heavy? It had a 2.59% gain.</p><p>As a result, assuming the market value of Infracore's other 0.3104974 remains unchanged, the current market price-based swap ratio is at a +20.9% disparity.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio based on the market price"}'>Swap ratio based on the market price</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Doosan Infracore Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"042670"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='="042670"'>042670</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market price"}'>Market price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":9880}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "price")'>₩9,880</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market price after split"}'>Post-split market price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6812.285688}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-20]C[0]">₩6,812</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"034020"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='="034020"'>034020</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market price"}'>Market price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":11900}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "price")'>₩11,900</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'><strong>Market price-based swap ratio</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.572460982184874}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-4]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>0.5724610</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Disparity"}'><strong>- Disparity</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.20918524181726464}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[-1]C[0]-R[-12]C[0])/R[-12]C[0]"><strong>+20.92%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Infracore is now 16.8% above the appraisal rights exercise price. Heavy is +3.8%.</p><p>The ceiling for potential cancellation is ₩300B for Infracore and ₩200B for Heavy.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Entity"}'>Entity</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Purchase rights price"}'>Purchase rights price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"% to the current price"}'>% to the current price</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Infracore"}'>Infracore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8224}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>₩8,224</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.16761133603238867}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C[-1]-R[-10]C[-1])/R[-10]C[-1]">16.76%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Heavy"}'>Heavy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":11447}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>₩11,447</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.038067226890756305}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C[-1]-R[-7]C[-1])/R[-7]C[-1]">3.81%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

The split ratio (Infracore) is 0.6895026. The one to merge with Heavy takes 0.6895026.Then, the merger ratio is 0.6866211, making the swap ratio 0.4734270.The remaining 0.3104974 of Infracore will remain on KOSPI with the ticker 042670.





Swap ratio

Doosan Infracore split ratio
0.6895026


Merger ratio with Doosan Heavy
0.6866211


Swap ratio with Doosan Heavy
0.4734270

Source: DART







Swap ratio based on the merger price

Name
Doosan Infracore Co Ltd


Ticker
042670


Merger price
₩7,827


Post-split merger price
₩5,397


Name
Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd


Ticker
034020


Merger price
₩11,400


Merger price-based swap ratio
0.4734270

Source: DART

Infracore soared 21.82% yesterday. Heavy? It had a 2.59% gain.As a result, assuming the market value of Infracore's other 0.3104974 remains unchanged, the current market price-based swap ratio is at a +20.9% disparity.





Swap ratio based on the market price

Name
Doosan Infracore Co Ltd


Ticker
042670


Market price
₩9,880


Post-split market price
₩6,812


Name
Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd


Ticker
034020


Market price
₩11,900


Market price-based swap ratio
0.5724610


- Disparity
+20.92%

Source: DART

Infracore is now 16.8% above the appraisal rights exercise price. Heavy is +3.8%.The ceiling for potential cancellation is ₩300B for Infracore and ₩200B for Heavy.







Entity
Purchase rights price
% to the current price


Infracore
₩8,224
16.76%


Heavy
₩11,447
3.81%

Source: DART



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