Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>EA inflation jumped by 51bp to 3.76%, exceeding our relatively high forecast as the trend rise in pressures extended even further as the energy shock intensified.</li>
<li>Italy was the source of most upside news in an otherwise balanced set of national surprises. Higher services inflation at 3.22% drove the core rate up to 2.5%.</li>
<li>A 4% year-end peak has an upside-risk skew amid low gas inventories, encouraging the ECB to hike again in December. Its activism should ease a return to target in 2027.</li>
</ul>


EA inflation jumped by 51bp to 3.76%, exceeding our relatively high forecast as the trend rise in pressures extended even further as the energy shock intensified.
Italy was the source of most upside news in an otherwise balanced set of national surprises. Higher services inflation at 3.22% drove the core rate up to 2.5%.
A 4% year-end peak has an upside-risk skew amid low gas inventories, encouraging the ECB to hike again in December. Its activism should ease a return to target in 2027.


EA: Inflation Biting Until Spring