bullish

ECM Weekly (2 February 2019) - Maoyan, China Tower, Dexin, Chalet Hotels, Bharat Hotels, Wingarc1st

401 Views02 Feb 2019 14:44
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Happy Lunar New Year to everyone from Aequitas Research!

It has been a fairly quiet week leading up to Chinese New Year but it is not stopping Maoyan Entertainment (1896 HK) from listing on Monday. The IPO was priced at the bottom end of its offering range. The last we checked, it traded up 3% in the grey market on Friday. Ke Yan, CFA, FRM will follow up with a short note of his thoughts on post-IPO trading dynamics and bookbuild subscription levels.

Other updates on IPO in Hong Kong include Sinochem Energy allowing its IPO application to lapse while Koolearn (1373356D HK) and Shangde Qizhi Education re-filed for IPO. Edvantage, another new education IPO (and likely to be borderline US$100m deal size) filed for Hong Kong listing this week as well.

China Tower (788 HK)'s lock-up will be expiring on the 8th of February and Ke Yan, CFA, FRM mentioned in his insight that any potential placement will be a good opportunity to accumulate the stock. Placements from cornerstone investors will likely be a liquidity event.

In India, Chalet Hotels Limited (CHALET IN) closed its bookbuild with a tepid overall demand of 1.57x. The silver lining for the IPO is that the institutional tranche saw a healthy 4.6x demand, similar to that of Lemon Tree Hotels (LEMONTRE IN) in terms of weak overall but strong institutional demand, which ended up performing well in its IPO.

Other upcoming India IPOs include Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd (9155507Z IN) and Embassy REIT which were said to be seeking listing towards the end of February. Sterling and Wilson is also looking to file its INR50bn IPO with the Sebi soon.

In Japan, Wingarc1st announced its IPO bookbuild to start on the 25th of February and will be listing in March. It is estimated to be raising about US$380m.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72% for IPOs and 63.8% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • Edvantage Group (Hong Kong, ~US$100m)
  • Koolearn (Hong Kong, re-filed)
  • Shangde Qizhi Education Group (Hong Kong, re-filed)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Smartkarma Community's this week Analysis on Upcoming IPO

List of pre-IPO Coverage on Smartkarma

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
BitmainBitmain IPO Preview: The Last Hurrah Before Reality Bites
BitmainBitmain IPO Preview (Part 2) - King of Cryptocurrency Mining Rigs but Its Moat Is Shrinking
BitmainBitmain: A Counter Thesis
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Running Out of Steam on Mining Rigs (Part 1)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Value At Risk of Founder's Belief (Part 2)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Take-Aways from Founder's Recent Speech at Tsinghua University (Part 3)
BitmainBitmain (比特大陆) IPO: Intense Competition in the 7nm Mining ASIC Market (Part 4)
CStoneCStone Pharma (基石药业) IPO: Strong Assembly and Backing (Part 1)
China East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO - The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco International IPO: Heavy Regulation, Declining Margins – A Bit Late to IPO Party
EbangEbang IPO Preview (Part 1): Lower Sales but Higher Operating Profit Versus Canaan Inc.
EbangEbang IPO Preview (Part 2): Tough Competition from Bitmain and Canaan
EbangEbang IPO Preview: Balance Sheet Indicators Point to a Significant Slowdown
Dexin

Dexin China (德信中国) Pre-IPO - Related Party Transactions and Partial Asset Listing

Frontage

Frontage Holding (方达控股) IPO: More Disclosure Needed to Understand Moat and Growth Prospect

Hujiang Edu

Hujiang Education (沪江教育) Pre-IPO - Spending More than It Earns

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio

Stealth BioStealth Biotherapeutics IPO: Cure the Symptoms but Not the Cause (Part 1)
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO - Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO - Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
Viva BioViva Biotech (维亚生物) IPO: When CRO Becomes Early Stage Biotech Investor
WeLabWeLab Pre-IPO - Stuck in a Regulatory Quagmire; Not the Right Time to List
South Korea
AsianaAsiana IDT IPO Preview (Part 1)
AsianaAsiana IDT IPO Preview (Part 2) - Valuation Analysis
ChunboChunbo Co. IPO Preview
ChunboChunbo Co. IPO Preview: Valuation Analysis
DreamtechDreamtech IPO Preview (Part 1)
DreamtechDreamtech: Trying for an IPO Again at a Lower Price
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) - Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) - Valuation Analysis
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) - An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO Review - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
Mazagon DockMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Large Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO - Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PolycabPolycab India Limited Pre-IPO - Market Leader with Steady Growth but with a Few Unanswered Question
The U.S.
FutuFutu Holdings IPO Preview: Running Out of Steam
FutuFutu Holdings Pre-IPO - Great Metrics but in a Commoditised Industry
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
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