FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Greg has had a long career in foreign exchange, beginning at the Reserve Bank of Australia in 1989.  He was the first economics graduate at the Bank to be assigned to the foreign exchange dealing desk. Greg learnt from highly respected stewards of policy and market development at the Bank.  He played a leading role in establishing the Bank’s approach to asset and currency management of its international reserves, and managed the Bank's Japanese bond portfolio for a year before joining the private sector in 1995.

In October 2015, Greg launched his own FX research company, Amplifying Global FX Capital, after completing duties at the Royal Bank of Scotland in Singapore where he was the Head of Asia Pacific Markets Strategy since February 2014.  His flagship  report (AmpGFX) is available here on SmartKarma.

He has maintained a trading track record since March 2013. The results are very good over this period. There have been significant macro developments that suit his approach to markets. He is now managing his own capital and will often have positions in the markets that he is writing about in his AmpGFX report.

For a detailed biography and trading performance analysis head to the ampGFXcapital.com website.

US Bond Yields and the USD at Key Juncture

Political Risk Ebbs in Europe, Rises in the USA

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

<p><em>The EUR has broken above the psychological 1.10 level after a lengthy and frustrating period of consolidation below this level since the first round of the French election. Eurozone economic momentum has maintained a steady improving trend and more clearly appears on a sustainable path to achieving the ECB’s inflation goals over the medium term, in contrast to Japan which is nowhere in sight of ending its unconventional extreme policy easing measures.  Political risk in Europe has faded whereas it has increased in the USA as Trump stumbles from one controversy to the next.  Geopolitical risk remains elevated with the US still threatening trade disputes, China’s credit issues ever present, North Korea threatening and the US President shifting to focus on fighting ISIS.  Europe is looking more like a haven rather than a source of risk.  Trump’s domestic economic policy appears stalled, and the risk is that US economic confidence fades. Many commentators see US equities as relatively expensive, and equity flow appears to be moving towards the Eurozone with more consistency.  The ECB may continue to talk down the prospect of a change in ECB policy, but this may only serve to slow the recovery in EUR.  A move towards the high side of its range over recent years near 1.15 seems quite possible.</em></p>

The EUR has broken above the psychological 1.10 level after a lengthy and frustrating period of consolidation below this level since the first round of the French election. Eurozone economic momentum has maintained a steady improving trend and more clearly appears on a sustainable path to achieving the ECB’s inflation goals over the medium term, in contrast to Japan which is nowhere in sight of ending its unconventional extreme policy easing measures.  Political risk in Europe has faded whereas it has increased in the USA as Trump stumbles from one controversy to the next.  Geopolitical risk remains elevated with the US still threatening trade disputes, China’s credit issues ever present, North Korea threatening and the US President shifting to focus on fighting ISIS.  Europe is looking more like a haven rather than a source of risk.  Trump’s domestic economic policy appears stalled, and the risk is that US economic confidence fades. Many commentators see US equities as relatively expensive, and equity flow appears to be moving towards the Eurozone with more consistency.  The ECB may continue to talk down the prospect of a change in ECB policy, but this may only serve to slow the recovery in EUR.  A move towards the high side of its range over recent years near 1.15 seems quite possible.

Euro

EUR Looks like the Safe Play