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US: No More Rate Cuts Likely from the Powell Fed; More Dovish FOMC by Q2 2026

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Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

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<ul><li>The Fed’s 25bp rate cut to 3.75–4.00% was anticipated, with the decision reflecting rising labour market risks amid the data fog.</li><li>Policy outlook hinges on future data. Inflation remains sticky, but the labour market weakening drove today’s pre-emptive move.</li><li>A pause in QT’s asset runoff demonstrates heightened caution. December’s decision is “not on a preset course”.</li></ul><div><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></div>

The Fed’s 25bp rate cut to 3.75–4.00% was anticipated, with the decision reflecting rising labour market risks amid the data fog.Policy outlook hinges on future data. Inflation remains sticky, but the labour market weakening drove today’s pre-emptive move.A pause in QT’s asset runoff demonstrates heightened caution. December’s decision is “not on a preset course”.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Fed Cuts Amid “Data Fog”; Path Ahead Uncertain