Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Gautam Jain has over 25 years of experience covering global emerging fixed income and currency markets, both as a strategist and a portfolio manager. He has worked in buy-side and sell-side firms, including The Rohatyn Group (TRG Management), Barclays Capital, and Millennium Partners. He has helped manage emerging markets local-currency and hard-currency debt funds. The assets that he covers include currencies, interest rates, sovereign credits, and related derivatives. He specializes in portfolio construction, smart-beta index creation, and asset allocation. Mr. Jain holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Columbia University and is a CFA charter holder.

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Spread to US Function of US Rates Vol

Rates 10y Dashboard: Implications of US Curve Steepening for EM

Rates 10y Dashboard: Hungary’s Lag Looks Overdone

FX Dashboard: High Correlation Between EM Currencies and US Equities

FX Dashboard: Brazilian Real Is a Bellwether for EM

FX Dashboard: Leaders and Laggards in the Pandemic

Alpha Bites: Long Mexican Peso (MXN) Vs Short Canadian Dollar (CAD)

Rates 10y Dashboard: Mexico’s Rising Breakeven Inflation

FX & Rates

<p>In this note, we discuss the binary risks in Brazilian real, especially with the currency appreciably cheap in REER terms.</p><p>The attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.</p>

In this note, we discuss the binary risks in Brazilian real, especially with the currency appreciably cheap in REER terms.The attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

FX Dashboard: Brazilian Real Cheap in REER Terms

Dollar Index

FX Dashboard: Brazilian Real Cheap in REER Terms