Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

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MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>In our last <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tactical-outlook-where-is-gold-going" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Gold tactical outlook/insight</a> on Jan 26 we signaled <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> was massively overbought, the metal started to fall hard the following week.</li>
<li>The pullback was followed by a furious 2-day rally, and now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> is back to really overbought levels! (at least according to our WEEKLY models).</li>
<li>We are wondering if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> is about to crash again, if the recent rally was just a dead-cat bounce. It's an hypothesis worth considering.</li>
</ul>


In our last Gold tactical outlook/insight on Jan 26 we signaled Gold (GOLD COMDTY) was massively overbought, the metal started to fall hard the following week.
The pullback was followed by a furious 2-day rally, and now Gold (GOLD COMDTY) is back to really overbought levels! (at least according to our WEEKLY models).
We are wondering if Gold (GOLD COMDTY) is about to crash again, if the recent rally was just a dead-cat bounce. It's an hypothesis worth considering.


GOLD Tactical Outlook: Downside Risk Re-Emerging