Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Pranav Bhavsar & the team at India Independent Insight (Iii), provide research on consumer companies operating or have exposure to in India. The research methodology focuses on carrying out on-the-ground channel surveillance/checks that include supplier/distributor/customer interactions, access to industry experts, and bespoke primary data sources that aid in providing unique insights and counter consensus ideas.  

Leveraging the team's forensic analysis along with channel surveillance, the team at Iii also aids investors in early identification of changing consumer trends, identification and quantification of accounting/governance risks, and the associated impact on the business model of the company.

Pranav has over 15 years of experience in the Indian equity market, and has worked with some of the global activists, long only and PE funds for their India projects. Prior roles also include building and leading an institutional sell-side desk. In his free time, Pranav is a traveler, biker, and a young Indian contributing to the country’s social and economic development.

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) | Brace for Disappointment

Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) | Course Correction

India Channel Insight #34 | Eicher (Royal Enfield), TVS Motors, Hero MotoCorp

Hero Motocorp: Topline Derails; near Term Outlook Challenging

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We anticipate the uptick in retail primarily aided by the wedding season to be short-lived for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>HMCL has not been able to keep pace with changing consumer preferences, the limited success in premium segment and scooters is likely to remain an overhang even on new launches.  </li>
<li>Inventory correction at the dealer's end could aid wholesales supporting valuations, but the company remains structurally unattractive. </li>
</ul>


We anticipate the uptick in retail primarily aided by the wedding season to be short-lived for Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN). 
HMCL has not been able to keep pace with changing consumer preferences, the limited success in premium segment and scooters is likely to remain an overhang even on new launches.  
Inventory correction at the dealer's end could aid wholesales supporting valuations, but the company remains structurally unattractive. 


Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) | Structural Problems Persist