Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

A buy-side analyst with over 18 years of experience investing in Asian markets and specializing in the mid-small cap space, emphasizing value investing in companies with good free cash flows/dividends and long-term holding horizons. 
Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd. It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Iron Ore Tracker (6-Jan-2025): What Does the New Year Hold in Store For Iron Ore

Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Deep Value, >35% of Mkt Cap in Cash, 2.5x PE/0.3 EV-EBITDA on Ramp Up

Iron Ore Tracker (20-Jan-2025): Temporary Closure of Hedland and Dampier to Boost Prices

Fortescue Metals Group (FMG AU): FY24 Slightly Below Expectations, Focus on Iron Ore Price for FY25

VALE US: Exposure to High-Grade Iron Ore With >8% Dividend Yield

Iron Ore Tracker (19-Aug-2024): Major Testing Point of 95 USD/Ton, Broken For Iron Ore

Champion Iron Q1 2025: Inline, High-Grade Iron Ore on Critical Minerals List in Canada

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We summarize the sensitivity of high-yield stocks <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vale (VALE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)</a> to the iron ore price. We try to answer what's priced in at 100 USD/ton.</li>
<li>We provide sensitivity tables for both stocks based on a range of 90-130 USD/ton. At 100 USD/ton, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23731:1" rel="noopener">Vale (VALE US)/Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)  </a> trade at 7.4/6.4% dividend yields.</li>
<li>Bullish iron ore participants subscribing to the 130 USD/ton forecast can see yields of 16.3%/11.4%. This forecast will be achievable if the China stimulus provides the expected impetus.</li>
</ul>


We summarize the sensitivity of high-yield stocks Vale (VALE US) and Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) to the iron ore price. We try to answer what's priced in at 100 USD/ton.
We provide sensitivity tables for both stocks based on a range of 90-130 USD/ton. At 100 USD/ton, Vale (VALE US)/Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)   trade at 7.4/6.4% dividend yields.
Bullish iron ore participants subscribing to the 130 USD/ton forecast can see yields of 16.3%/11.4%. This forecast will be achievable if the China stimulus provides the expected impetus.


High Yield Iron Ore Stocks: VALE US/FMG AU Sensitivity to Iron Ore