Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 09 – 13): Energy Stands Out Amid General Weakness

HK Strategy: What Does March Look Like Historically?

HSI INDEX Tactical Outlook Ahead of March 6th Index Rebalance

HK Strategy: Assessing the Oil Vulnerability

COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Is It Too Stretched?

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Since the of the Iran War the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> has been correcting mildly, for now.</li>
<li>Our model signals the index is NOT oversold yet, which means it could go certainly lower, possibly 3 more weeks, extreme support is at 23367.</li>
<li>Any rally will be short-lived, unless the US suddenly declares the war is over and promises to solve the Strait of Hormuz transit risks. We suggest shorting HSI around 26132.
</li>
</ul>


Since the of the Iran War the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) has been correcting mildly, for now.
Our model signals the index is NOT oversold yet, which means it could go certainly lower, possibly 3 more weeks, extreme support is at 23367.
Any rally will be short-lived, unless the US suddenly declares the war is over and promises to solve the Strait of Hormuz transit risks. We suggest shorting HSI around 26132.



HSI INDEX: Tactical View as Iran War Enters Week 3