Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

HSTECH Tactical Outlook Amid Global AI De-Rating and Macro Shocks

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MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Hang Seng TECH Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX EQUITY)</a> has been in a downtrend since September 2025. From peak to bottom (end of June 2026) <strong>it has corrected -37%. </strong>
</li>
<li>During the last month and a half the index rallied +16% from its bottom, but now the continuation of the rally is at a critical juncture.</li>
<li>According to our model downside risk is currently NOT exhausted yet, while upside potential for the next 2-3 weeks is still capped. Next few weeks will be key for direction.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX EQUITY) has been in a downtrend since September 2025. From peak to bottom (end of June 2026) it has corrected -37%. 

During the last month and a half the index rallied +16% from its bottom, but now the continuation of the rally is at a critical juncture.
According to our model downside risk is currently NOT exhausted yet, while upside potential for the next 2-3 weeks is still capped. Next few weeks will be key for direction.


HSTECH Index Tactical Outlook: Rally or Downtrend