European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Jesús is an Insight Provider (Event-driven) on the Smartkarma network, where he looks across sectors at opportunities arising from securities mispricing (both credit and equity), share classes, bid announcements, prospective bids, and special situations. He has served as Economic and Business Advisor at the Spanish Congress in Madrid. Prior to that, he has worked in the City of London: as a Credit Analyst at Bloomberg; Event-driven associate at former boutique European Research; and doubled as Special Situations and Equity-linked VP (convertible bonds) at Merrill Lynch. Jesús has an MBA from the London Business School, a BA (Hons.) degree in Economics from the Complutense University in Madrid, and a BA (Hons.) in Law from U.N.E.D., also in Madrid.

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Apollo Increases Its Advantage in the Bidding War

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Apollo had last week improved its offer price to €10.65/share of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applus-services-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21249:1" rel="noopener">Applus Services SA (APPS SM)</a> and acquired 21.85% of the share capital. Amber Equity signaled it continued in the race.</li>
<li>Amber Equity has raised to €11/share, 3.3% above Apollo's last offer, for an implied equity value of c. €1,420 million, implied EV of €2,412 million, 6.8x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA.</li>
<li>After the CNMV authorises the bid from Amber Equity, a 30-day acceptance period will open. Two most likely scenarios are either winner's curse or the funds agree a 50-50 split.</li>
</ul>


Apollo had last week improved its offer price to €10.65/share of Applus Services SA (APPS SM) and acquired 21.85% of the share capital. Amber Equity signaled it continued in the race.
Amber Equity has raised to €11/share, 3.3% above Apollo's last offer, for an implied equity value of c. €1,420 million, implied EV of €2,412 million, 6.8x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA.
After the CNMV authorises the bid from Amber Equity, a 30-day acceptance period will open. Two most likely scenarios are either winner's curse or the funds agree a 50-50 split.


I Squared & TDR/Applus: Counteroffer at €11.0