Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

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Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Daily Liquidity has tanked lower, causing bond term premia to worryingly collapse to near all-time lows</li>
<li>S&amp;P500 (SPX) likely to test 3200 because of skidding Liquidity, but may even drop below 3000 as earnings get crushed.</li>
<li>Lower term premia are already set-in-stone and have  always led to much weaker reported corporate earnings some 15 months later. US S&amp;P500 earnings could skid by over 20% in 2023  </li>
</ul>


Daily Liquidity has tanked lower, causing bond term premia to worryingly collapse to near all-time lows
S&amp;P500 (SPX) likely to test 3200 because of skidding Liquidity, but may even drop below 3000 as earnings get crushed.
Lower term premia are already set-in-stone and have  always led to much weaker reported corporate earnings some 15 months later. US S&amp;P500 earnings could skid by over 20% in 2023  


Icarus Is Falling! The Markets Are Breaking: More Volatility Is Coming