Delivering Global Macro Investment Insights

DeSaque Macro Research

DeSaque Macro Research Limited was formed by Said DeSaque in April 2012 with the view to delivering global macro investment insights aimed at providing new ideas to clients.

Said DeSaque has over 26 years of experience working as a professional economist in financial services. Prior to establishing DeSaque Macro Research, Said held positions as Senior Economist at Robert W Baird and William Blair. He began his career as a graduate at PaineWebber in 1986, where he eventually became Head of the London Economics Department.

Said takes a very keen interest in international relations, along with their implications for economic development. His research interests include the economic transformation of China and its implications for global capital markets, particularly in the United States. He is a member of Chatham House in London.

The US economy and capital markets have historically been Said’s main focus of attention. He frequently presents his views to institutional investors in diverse geographic locations. In recent years, Said has also been carefully monitoring economic developments in Asia, particularly China and Japan.

Future US Productivity Growth: Crucial for Disinflation, Fed Policy Conduct, and Corporate Profits

Fed Sees Economy Cooling as Leading Indicators Also Suggest Softer Looming Trend

US Financial Markets: Getting Too Optimistic About Easier Fed Policy?

Global Economist, DeSaque Macro Research

Said Desaque

Global Economist

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Stronger-Than-Expected data forced financial markets to pare expectations of Fed policy easing in 2024. Increased labour supply reduced wage inflation, allowing the Fed to contemplate policy rate reductions this year.</li>
<li>Immigration can impart short-term economic benefits and assist Fed policy by acting as a safety valve against wage inflation and keeping inflationary expectations well-anchored.  </li>
<li>Reductions in legal immigration that curb labour supply will lower the marginal productivity of capital as well as the rate of return on equities, particularly if budget deficits remain elevated. </li>
</ul>


Stronger-Than-Expected data forced financial markets to pare expectations of Fed policy easing in 2024. Increased labour supply reduced wage inflation, allowing the Fed to contemplate policy rate reductions this year.
Immigration can impart short-term economic benefits and assist Fed policy by acting as a safety valve against wage inflation and keeping inflationary expectations well-anchored.  
Reductions in legal immigration that curb labour supply will lower the marginal productivity of capital as well as the rate of return on equities, particularly if budget deficits remain elevated. 


Implications of Immigration on Future Fed Policy Conduct and US Equity Returns