Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Capital markets veteran with 25 years across sell-side and buy-side research, investor relations, and fund management. Currently publish independent equity research (Mofferies Investment Research, via Smartkarma) spanning semiconductor memory (DRAM/NAND/HBM), foundry, semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging, gold and cross-asset strategy, financials forensics, and APAC IPOs — with a standing watchlist of 190+ companies across 41 countries. Background includes deep aviation-sector expertise (airlines, airports, OEMs, lessors, air cargo, travel/OTAs). Approach centers on identifying cyclical inflection points and mispriced risk across sectors, translated into explicit, actionable calls.

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Prediction markets price US–Iran deal at 75–80% probability; draft MoU exchanged 12 June. Signing expected within weeks. Base case: treat it as done and position accordingly.</li>
<li>Iran's return adds 1.5–2.5mb/d to global supply within 18 months. Brent's structural ceiling collapses to US$60–75/bbl. Energy importers win; OPEC+ pricing discipline is broken permanently.</li>
<li>China captures the reconstruction dividend — not the West. Surgical longs: SLB, TotalEnergies, Airbus, Standard Chartered. Avoid binary oil shorts; the nuance is in the value chain.</li>
</ul>


Prediction markets price US–Iran deal at 75–80% probability; draft MoU exchanged 12 June. Signing expected within weeks. Base case: treat it as done and position accordingly.
Iran's return adds 1.5–2.5mb/d to global supply within 18 months. Brent's structural ceiling collapses to US$60–75/bbl. Energy importers win; OPEC+ pricing discipline is broken permanently.
China captures the reconstruction dividend — not the West. Surgical longs: SLB, TotalEnergies, Airbus, Standard Chartered. Avoid binary oil shorts; the nuance is in the value chain.


Iran Deal Imminent: The Trade That Most Portfolios Are Completely Unprepared For