Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

A buy-side analyst with over 15 years of experience investing in Asian markets and specializing in the mid-small cap space, emphasizing value investing in companies with good free cash flows/dividends and long-term holding horizons. 
Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd. It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

ITMG IJ: A Healthy 15% Yield Despite the Coal Price Correction, With >50% Mkt Cap In Cash

ITMG IJ: Q4 2023 Inline, Deep Value, 45% of the Mkt Cash and ~11% Dividend Yield on Spot

ITMG - Q1 2023, Decline in Coal Prices And Increasing Costs Weigh on Profits, Yield Sturdy >20%

ITMG: Coal Softer, Cash ~50% of Mkt Cap, Yield to Remain >20% in 2023

ITMG: Ex-Dividend, Dividend Yield Compelling at 20% With 33% of the Market Cap in Cash

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Indo Tambangraya Megah / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a> provides investors with fat dividends. We estimate from 2021-2023e, the company will have paid over 20,000 Rph (70% of the current share price) in dividends.</li>
<li>Despite these dividend payouts, cash on the balance sheet by the end of FY23e will easily exceed one bn USD or about 50% of the market capitalization.</li>
<li>Weak results/degrowth are expected due to unsustainably high coal prices in 2022. Nevertheless, there is a good case for future value as hefty dividends will continue to be paid.</li>
</ul>



Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) provides investors with fat dividends. We estimate from 2021-2023e, the company will have paid over 20,000 Rph (70% of the current share price) in dividends.
Despite these dividend payouts, cash on the balance sheet by the end of FY23e will easily exceed one bn USD or about 50% of the market capitalization.
Weak results/degrowth are expected due to unsustainably high coal prices in 2022. Nevertheless, there is a good case for future value as hefty dividends will continue to be paid.


ITMG Q2 2023 Weak But Stock At 20% Dividend Yield with ~50% of Mkt Cap In Cash