Indonesian Equities | Buy-Side Investment Research

Defriansyah Has

Buy-side investment professional focused on listed equities, combining bottom-up fundamental analysis with macroeconomic and capital allocation perspectives. I focus on intrinsic value, valuation, catalysts, downside risk, and the gap between fundamentals and market expectations, with the objective of identifying mispriced opportunities and translating research into disciplined investment decisions. 15+ years of experience across Indonesia’s Ministry of Finance, private investment, and independent research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Indonesian thermal coal prices are trending higher, creating a constructive cyclical backdrop for domestic coal producers: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-bukit-asam-persero-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1189:1" rel="noopener">Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a> combines the lowest valuation with substantial net cash, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-bukit-asam-persero-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1189:1" rel="noopener">Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ)</a>  combines stronger observed cash conversion with deeper logistics and resource-duration advantages.</li>
<li>We test, through a forensic examination of business economics and a value-investing lens, which company, if either, can offer more than 25% upside from current prices.</li>
</ul>


Indonesian thermal coal prices are trending higher, creating a constructive cyclical backdrop for domestic coal producers: Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) &amp; Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ) 

Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) combines the lowest valuation with substantial net cash, while Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ)  combines stronger observed cash conversion with deeper logistics and resource-duration advantages.
We test, through a forensic examination of business economics and a value-investing lens, which company, if either, can offer more than 25% upside from current prices.


ITMG Vs PTBA: The Cheapest Way to Indonesian Coal Exposure