Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Japan Post Bank – A Double on Spread Expansion and More on a Buyback?

Toyota – Quick Wage Negotiation Agreement Means Something

Japan Post Holdings – Gaming Out a Five Bagger

Japan Post Insurance - A Surprising Selloff But Still A Buy

Japan Post Insurance - It's ON! Buyback, Huge Accretion, Restrictions Lifted. What's Not To Like?

Japan Post – Insurance Business Is Sandbagging Guidance

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Japan Post Insurance beat consensus 3Q estimates by 77% at the NP level and the company revised up FY guidance 30.5% to ¥365.49 in EPS. </li>
<li>Consensus still forecasts EPS to drop to ¥234 next FY but we see little reason to not expect a further increase. </li>
<li>If so, the name is likely to be close to 5x PE vs. peers at over 10x creating a significant opportunity.</li>
</ul>


Japan Post Insurance beat consensus 3Q estimates by 77% at the NP level and the company revised up FY guidance 30.5% to ¥365.49 in EPS. 
Consensus still forecasts EPS to drop to ¥234 next FY but we see little reason to not expect a further increase. 
If so, the name is likely to be close to 5x PE vs. peers at over 10x creating a significant opportunity.


Japan Post Insurance – Why This Could Double… In Charts