Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

JD.com (9618 HK): 2022, Historical Low Growth, But Historical High Margin.

JD.com (9618 HK) Earnings Preview: To Continue A Strategy of Low Growth and High Margin

JD.com (9618 HK): 1Q23, Expected Performance and Unexpected CEO Change, 92% Upside

JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q22, Growth Recovered, Margin Reached Historical High

JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q22, Growth Tumbled, But Lockdown Eased, 20% Upside or More

China Internet Weekly (5Dec2022): JD.com, Baidu, IQiyi, Alibaba Health, ZTO, Pinduoduo, KE

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Bifurcated Chinese Express Market Developing

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the revenue growth rate would still be low at 8.5% YoY in 4Q22, even lower than 11.4% YoY in 3Q22.</li>
<li>However, we believe the growth rate of total revenue will be 10% in 2022, 15% in 2023, and 18% in 2024.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 47% for year end 2023.</li>
</ul>


We believe the revenue growth rate would still be low at 8.5% YoY in 4Q22, even lower than 11.4% YoY in 3Q22.
However, we believe the growth rate of total revenue will be 10% in 2022, 15% in 2023, and 18% in 2024.
We believe the stock has an upside of 47% for year end 2023.


JD.com (9618 HK) Earnings Preview: Weak Q4, But Strong 2023