Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Over 20 years of sell-side research experience across Global Metals & Mining, Cement, Industrials, and Commodities. Extensive first-hand mine and plant visits spanning India, Australia, China, the US, and the UK.
Hundreds of buy-side engagements across major global financial hubs in Asia, North America, and Europe. Also led a comprehensive client tour of China to deepen industry understanding.

Focused on fundamentals-driven analysis including earnings modeling, cost structures, and valuations using DCF and relative multiples. Global commodity cycles, supply-demand trends, and macro factors are integrated into sector calls. Research prioritizes inflection points from price, cost, and policy shifts, using a disciplined bottom-up approach supported by top-down macro screening.

Japan Steel Works (5631 JP) – Steady Profit Growth, Nuclear Edge, and Premium Justified

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Macro: Nuclear restarts (Tomari-3, Aug-25) and record defense budgets underpin demand for JSW’s forgings.</li>
<li>Results: Q1 FY25 showed solid YoY growth (revenue +7%, OP +21%) with margins lifted by defense/nuclear.</li>
<li>Valuation/Risks: Shares trade at ~26× P/E on a ¥508 bn backlog; upside rests on execution, with delays the key risk.</li>
</ul>


Macro: Nuclear restarts (Tomari-3, Aug-25) and record defense budgets underpin demand for JSW’s forgings.
Results: Q1 FY25 showed solid YoY growth (revenue +7%, OP +21%) with margins lifted by defense/nuclear.
Valuation/Risks: Shares trade at ~26× P/E on a ¥508 bn backlog; upside rests on execution, with delays the key risk.


Kepco Engineering & Construction (052690 KS)

JSW: Backlog 2× Sales, Nuclear Edge Drives Upside