Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

I investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Changes, Passive Flow, & Trade Approach

SK IE Tech In & HDC Out Offers A Clear-Cut Long/Short Setup

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Local Passive Flow Tracking

KOSPI 200 Review Period Completed: Early Phase Long Short Trade

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Bifurcated Chinese Express Market Developing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

The KRX defines the free float of a stock as the proportion of outstanding shares that is deemed available for purchase in the stock market.The KRX includes the following types of shares in free float for all its indices:<ul>
<li>Stakes held by the major shareholder and the special affiliated persons</li>
<li>Stakes held by the government agencies, excluding the Korea NPS</li>
<li>Treasury shares</li>
<li>Stakes hed by the ESOP</li>
<li>Stakes under a lock-up agreement by court order</li>
</ul>A free float change cycle is every 6 months. That is, the KRX reflects free float changes in the bi-annual rebalancing.But if a change is less than ±5%pt, there will be no change. The KRX will continue to apply the previous free float rates.<div class="content-highlight">The KRX may reflect a free-float change before a bi-annual rebalancing if a change is substantially large. The KRX considers the following factors: company size, rebalancing size and subsequent market impact, and index tracking convenience.</div><hr><h2>Likely names with a ±5%pt free float change</h2>This rebalancing will likely feature a total of 9 constituents having a ±5%pt free float change: 6 names with a 5%pt or greater change and 3 names with a -5%pt or harsher change.Doosan Fuel Cell tops the list with +18.74%pt, followed by CS Wind with +15.56%pt and HYBE with +14.66%pt. On the other hand, DL Holdings will likely lose -30.69%pt in its free-float rate. SK Discovery and Korean Air are also expected to suffer a reduction, -9.50%pt and -8.50%pt, respectively.<table class="table table-striped">
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<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Previous free float rate"}'>Current free float rate (est.)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current free float rate"}'>New free float rate (est.)</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Free float change"}'>Free float change</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Note"}'>Note</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Korean Air Lines Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>Korean Air Lines Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"003490"}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>003490</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6079702177328681}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>60.80%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5229999999999999}' data-sheets-formula="=61.04%-(R[0]C[8]-R[0]C[7])">52.30%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.08497021773286817}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">-8.50%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"New issue"}'>New issue</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":326030}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>326030</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.22696431504105483}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>22.70%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.34}'>34.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1130356849589452}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">11.30%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"The major shareholder selldown"}'>The major shareholder selldown</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Industrial Bank of Korea"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>Industrial Bank of Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"024110"}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>024110</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.28784600849134395}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>28.78%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3614}'>36.14%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.07355399150865605}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">7.36%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"New issue"}'>New issue</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Fuel Cell Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>Doosan Fuel Cell Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":336260}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>336260</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4198990285604666}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>41.99%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6073}'>60.73%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.18740097143953333}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">18.74%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"New issue &amp; the major shareholder selldown"}'>New issue &amp; the major shareholder selldown</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cs Wind Corp"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>Cs Wind Corp</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":112610}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>112610</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.40763635199851167}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>40.76%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5632}'>56.32%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.15556364800148836}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">15.56%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"New issue"}'>New issue</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Rotem Co"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>Hyundai Rotem Co</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"064350"}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>064350</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5505147484042126}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>55.05%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6589}'>65.89%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.10838525159578749}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">10.84%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"CB conversion"}'>CB conversion</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"DL Holdings Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>DL Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"000210"}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>000210</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8713222556320805}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>87.13%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5643999999999999}' data-sheets-formula="=76.88%-(R[0]C[8]-R[0]C[7])">56.44%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.30692225563208064}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">-30.69%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Tender offer"}'>Tender offer</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Discovery Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>SK Discovery Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"006120"}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>006120</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6193005803932952}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>61.93%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5243}'>52.43%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.09500058039329518}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">-9.50%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"The major shareholder buying"}'>The major shareholder buying</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hybe Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[1], "name")'>HYBE Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":352820}' data-sheets-formula='=if(len(R[0]C[7])=2, "0000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=3, "000"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(LEN(R[0]C[7])=4, "00"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=5, "0"&amp;R[0]C[7], if(len(R[0]C[7])=6, R[0]C[7], 0)))))'>352820</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2683143580142878}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("KODEX 200!G"&amp;R[0]C[7])'>26.83%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4149}'>41.49%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.14658564198571217}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%p"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]-R[0]C[-2]">14.66%p</td>
<td style="text-align: left;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Lockup release"}'>Lockup release</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

The KRX defines the free float of a stock as the proportion of outstanding shares that is deemed available for purchase in the stock market.The KRX includes the following types of shares in free float for all its indices:
Stakes held by the major shareholder and the special affiliated persons
Stakes held by the government agencies, excluding the Korea NPS
Treasury shares
Stakes hed by the ESOP
Stakes under a lock-up agreement by court order
A free float change cycle is every 6 months. That is, the KRX reflects free float changes in the bi-annual rebalancing.But if a change is less than ±5%pt, there will be no change. The KRX will continue to apply the previous free float rates.The KRX may reflect a free-float change before a bi-annual rebalancing if a change is substantially large. The KRX considers the following factors: company size, rebalancing size and subsequent market impact, and index tracking convenience.Likely names with a ±5%pt free float changeThis rebalancing will likely feature a total of 9 constituents having a ±5%pt free float change: 6 names with a 5%pt or greater change and 3 names with a -5%pt or harsher change.Doosan Fuel Cell tops the list with +18.74%pt, followed by CS Wind with +15.56%pt and HYBE with +14.66%pt. On the other hand, DL Holdings will likely lose -30.69%pt in its free-float rate. SK Discovery and Korean Air are also expected to suffer a reduction, -9.50%pt and -8.50%pt, respectively.










Name
Ticker
Current free float rate (est.)
New free float rate (est.)
Free float change
Note


Korean Air Lines Co Ltd
003490
60.80%
52.30%
-8.50%p
New issue


SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd
326030
22.70%
34.00%
11.30%p
The major shareholder selldown


Industrial Bank of Korea
024110
28.78%
36.14%
7.36%p
New issue


Doosan Fuel Cell Co Ltd
336260
41.99%
60.73%
18.74%p
New issue &amp; the major shareholder selldown


Cs Wind Corp
112610
40.76%
56.32%
15.56%p
New issue


Hyundai Rotem Co
064350
55.05%
65.89%
10.84%p
CB conversion


DL Holdings Co Ltd
000210
87.13%
56.44%
-30.69%p
Tender offer


SK Discovery Co Ltd
006120
61.93%
52.43%
-9.50%p
The major shareholder buying


HYBE Co Ltd
352820
26.83%
41.49%
14.66%p
Lockup release

Source: KRX



KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Constituents with a ±5%pt Free Float Change