Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Nicolas Baratte has been a financial analyst since 2000, covering the Semiconductor sector and Global Technology. Nicolas has worked on the sell-side for JPMorgan, CLSA. On the buy-side for a Tiger fund and Prudential. Nicolas has covered semiconductors, Asian hardware and components, and the Global Tech supply chain. Nicolas lives mostly in Taiwan, sometimes in France and is in New York regularly.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Next Node Already Sold Out Before Any Mass Production

Nanya July Revenue Soars 31% MoM As Micron Revises Current Quarter Guide Up >5%

Memory Monitor: The Sticky Era -- Memory’s Transition from Spot Pricing to Long-Cycle Commitments

HBM Stocks Will Keep Running (Micron, SK Hynix), It’s Just the Beginning

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Huge beat in Nov-25 and Feb-26. The impact of price hikes (Commodity Memory), mix change (more HBM and server) driven by AI growth and low capacity increase. </li>
<li>Management is cautious on bit growth but very positive on 2026-28 outlook. HBM sold out for ‘26. Shortages continue in ’26-27. HBM market to increase ~3x by ‘28.</li>
<li>Consensus should revise up FY26 by ~60%, FY27 by ~80%. This implies that the stock trades at 7.5x FY26 EPS and 5.4x FY27. </li>
</ul>


Huge beat in Nov-25 and Feb-26. The impact of price hikes (Commodity Memory), mix change (more HBM and server) driven by AI growth and low capacity increase. 
Management is cautious on bit growth but very positive on 2026-28 outlook. HBM sold out for ‘26. Shortages continue in ’26-27. HBM market to increase ~3x by ‘28.
Consensus should revise up FY26 by ~60%, FY27 by ~80%. This implies that the stock trades at 7.5x FY26 EPS and 5.4x FY27. 


Micron: Nov-25 Beat by 30%, Feb-26 Guidance 80% Above Consensus

Micron Technology

Micron: Nov-25 Beat by 30%, Feb-26 Guidance 80% Above Consensus