Netflix: Short Peak Netflix
We have been longtime fans of Netflix the product and Netflix’s management team can rightfully be described as visionary. They had the vision to have the public markets fund an experiment in business models that may eventually breakeven on FCF at some point in the future. We think this quarter marks Peak Netflix....as management said itself:
“Intuitively, the person who didn’t join Netflix during the entire confinement is not likely to join soon after the confinement”
- Netflix 1Q20 Investor Letter
Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.
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