Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Over two decades experience in resources; including mining operations, corporate finance and as a resource analyst. Followed numerous market sectors, conducting fundamental demand and supply analysis, detailed financial modelling incorporating real-world business complexity. Encompassing cashflow and DCF valuations, growth and supply factors, with sensitivities.

The ability to marry big picture ideas with in-depth analysis resulted in between 2004 and 2014, an after-tax (including all taxes/losses) of >50% CAGR over that period.

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Vale in Trouble - Expect Rio, BHP, FMG to Benefit (Flash Note)

RIO & BHP:  Valuation Gap Gone; Closing Long-Rio/Short-BHP

US$6bn Regained in Relative EMV; More to Go as BHPs Valuation Premium Melts...

Janus Analysis

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/23731" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23731:1">Vale SA (VALE US)</a> woes continue, facing another dam collapse</li>
<li>Forecast seaborne iron ore market deficit &gt;100Mt CY19</li>
<li>Chinese house prices up 10% y-o-y</li>
<li>Chinese Government readying substantial investment stimulus</li>
<li>Continue to positively trade large IO miners</li>
<li>5-year gold price continues to be flat</li>
<li>Global Zinc inventories declining rapidly</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/23731" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23731:1">Vale SA (VALE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5424" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5424:1">Bhp Billiton Ltd (Adr) (BHP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/41" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1">Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5124" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5124:1">Azumah Resources (AZM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4111" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4111:1">Peel Mining Ltd (PEX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19210" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19210:1">Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU)</a>, Pensana Metals (ASX: PM8), Axion (ASX: AZQ), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19111" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19111:1">Alkane Resources (ALK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1365" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1365:1">Chesser Resources (CHZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2971" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2971:1">Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20488" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4650" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28006" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11138" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11138:1">Hot Chili Ltd (HCH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12048" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12048:1">Newfield Resources (NWF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/7068" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7068:1">Lucapa Diamond (LOM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8807" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8807:1">Theta Gold Mines (TGM AU</a>), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16357" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16357:1">Emperor Range (ERX AU)</a>  </li>
</ul>


Vale SA (VALE US) woes continue, facing another dam collapse
Forecast seaborne iron ore market deficit &gt;100Mt CY19
Chinese house prices up 10% y-o-y
Chinese Government readying substantial investment stimulus
Continue to positively trade large IO miners
5-year gold price continues to be flat
Global Zinc inventories declining rapidly

Vale SA (VALE US), Bhp Billiton Ltd (Adr) (BHP US), Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU),Fortescue Metals (FMG AU), Azumah Resources (AZM AU), Peel Mining Ltd (PEX AU), Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU), Pensana Metals (ASX: PM8), Axion (ASX: AZQ), Alkane Resources (ALK AU), Chesser Resources (CHZ AU), Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Hot Chili Ltd (HCH AU), Newfield Resources (NWF AU), Lucapa Diamond (LOM AU), Theta Gold Mines (TGM AU), Emperor Range (ERX AU)  


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 17/05/19)