Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook: Quantifying Downside Risk and Strategic Re-Entry Zones

NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook: Indecision May Lead to Pullback

NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook Amidst Potential Passive Flows From Global Trackers

NIFTY 50 Index Outlook: Rebound Rally in Sight? (Profit Targets)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As forecasted in our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nifty-50-index-outlook-rebound-rally-in-sight-profit-targets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a>, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> rallied past 25k, but we said this was a BEARISH pattern - rally was short-lived (2 weeks), then this week down.
</li>
<li>
Effective September 30 InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo) and Max Healthcare Institute will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, replacing Hero MotoCorp and IndusInd Bank, in the meanwhile 50% US tariffs kicked in.
</li>
<li>We see a potential continuation of the recent bearishness with a RISK-OFF scenario where the index could drop to much lower prices in September, support target 23819 or below.</li>
</ul>


As forecasted in our previous insight, the NIFTY Index rallied past 25k, but we said this was a BEARISH pattern - rally was short-lived (2 weeks), then this week down.


Effective September 30 InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo) and Max Healthcare Institute will be added to the NIFTY, replacing Hero MotoCorp and IndusInd Bank, in the meanwhile 50% US tariffs kicked in.

We see a potential continuation of the recent bearishness with a RISK-OFF scenario where the index could drop to much lower prices in September, support target 23819 or below.


NIFTY 50 Tactical View: Risk-Off Scenario Before Sep-30 Rebalance + Tariffs Impact