Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

Nifty Index Options Weekly (Apr 01 – 04): Lowest Implied Vol Amid a Global Meltdown

NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Trade Tensions Prevail: Reduce Vol Harvesting & Position for +ve Vega.

NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

Foshan Haitian Flavouring A/H Listing - Strong Brand but Sales Have Been Slowing Down

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> post-crash bounce peaked around 4.4% before stalling—mirroring the fading rebounds seen across global indices.</li>
<li>
<strong>The index has yet to reach levels attractive for shorting</strong>, but with two days remaining before the weekend, any positive tariff-related news will push the index towards the targets.</li>
<li>This insight highlights <strong>key price levels for initiating tactical shorts or exiting longs</strong>, depending on the tariffs scenario that, once again, changed dramatically from one day to the next.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) post-crash bounce peaked around 4.4% before stalling—mirroring the fading rebounds seen across global indices.

The index has yet to reach levels attractive for shorting, but with two days remaining before the weekend, any positive tariff-related news will push the index towards the targets.
This insight highlights key price levels for initiating tactical shorts or exiting longs, depending on the tariffs scenario that, once again, changed dramatically from one day to the next.


NIFTY Index Rally Outlook After Trump's Tariffs PAUSE