External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Pakistan Materials / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We have revised our cement sector earnings estimates downward by an average of 15–20% for FY26 and FY27. The revision reflects a weaker macroeconomic outlook stemming from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and its broader economic implications.</li><li>Domestic growth expectations moderated: Local cement dispatches rose by ~9% YoY during 11MFY26, supported by improving macroeconomic conditions, lower interest rates earlier in the year, and a gradual recovery in construction activity.</li><li>Higher coal prices to pressure margins: Following the US–Iran conflict, international coal prices rebounded sharply, reaching US$112/ton in May-26 compared to US$96/ton in Feb-26 and an FY25 average of US$101/ton.</li></ul>

We have revised our cement sector earnings estimates downward by an average of 15–20% for FY26 and FY27. The revision reflects a weaker macroeconomic outlook stemming from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and its broader economic implications.Domestic growth expectations moderated: Local cement dispatches rose by ~9% YoY during 11MFY26, supported by improving macroeconomic conditions, lower interest rates earlier in the year, and a gradual recovery in construction activity.Higher coal prices to pressure margins: Following the US–Iran conflict, international coal prices rebounded sharply, reaching US$112/ton in May-26 compared to US$96/ton in Feb-26 and an FY25 average of US$101/ton.

Pakistan Cements - Earnings Revised Downward; Market Weight Maintained