HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Over 15 years' experience in both finance and healthcare, covering clinic operations, investment and equity research in both China and overseas.

HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Revenue Growth, Strong Margin Profile Highlights IPO Bull Case

HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Healthcare AI IPO Opens Strong, Trades Steady on Heavy Demand

WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) 25H1 - The Turning Point of Performance Has Been Confirmed

China TCM (570.HK) - About the 25H1 Profit Warning and the Outlook

Pre-IPO Sichuan Neautus Traditional Chinese Medicine - The Outlook Is Not Optimistic

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>HeartFlow submitted its prospectus, targeting a valuation of up to US$1.32 billion in US IPO. Heartflow is seeking up to US$212.5 million by offering 12.5 million shares priced between US$15-17/share.</li>
<li>HeartFlow’s moat includes a first-mover advantage, medical insurance network, and ecological cooperation with equipment manufacturers. However, the accuracy of its products is slightly inferior to that of similar Chinese products.</li>
<li>Our forecast is revenue to up 35% YoY/30% YoY/25% YoY in 2025/2026/2027. HeartFlow may achieve breakeven in 2027. Comfortable valuation could be P/S of 7-9x if based on 2025E revenue.</li>
</ul>


HeartFlow submitted its prospectus, targeting a valuation of up to US$1.32 billion in US IPO. Heartflow is seeking up to US$212.5 million by offering 12.5 million shares priced between US$15-17/share.
HeartFlow’s moat includes a first-mover advantage, medical insurance network, and ecological cooperation with equipment manufacturers. However, the accuracy of its products is slightly inferior to that of similar Chinese products.
Our forecast is revenue to up 35% YoY/30% YoY/25% YoY in 2025/2026/2027. HeartFlow may achieve breakeven in 2027. Comfortable valuation could be P/S of 7-9x if based on 2025E revenue.


Pre-IPO Heartflow (HTFL US - Thoughts on the Business and Valuation Outlook