Bayon Financial

Graeme Cunningham

Mr. Cunningham is a CFA Charterholder with over 15 years of experience as an equity research analyst, mostly on the sell side at investment banks, including Goldman and Jefferies, and with some time on the buy side. He has covered the consumer, telecoms, financials, energy and mining sectors, with a focus mainly on Southeast Asia, including Thailand and Vietnam.

Independent Insight Provider

Bayon Financial provides industry and company analysis focusing on mid and small cap equity research coverage across a range of sectors including mining, financials and telecoms.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Q3/25 production update was taken well by the market, with iron ore output near flat yoy, copper jumping 10%, and moderate growth for aluminum, alumina and bauxite</li>
<li>Some reorganization has started under new CEO Simon Trott, with IOC reported with the core iron ore segment, and two divisions, Borates and Iron and Titanium, placed under review </li>
<li>We see risks from major iron ore market shifts and a potential cyclical downturn hitting copper and aluminum, and it could be fully valued on our below-consensus metal price estimates </li>
</ul>


The Q3/25 production update was taken well by the market, with iron ore output near flat yoy, copper jumping 10%, and moderate growth for aluminum, alumina and bauxite
Some reorganization has started under new CEO Simon Trott, with IOC reported with the core iron ore segment, and two divisions, Borates and Iron and Titanium, placed under review 
We see risks from major iron ore market shifts and a potential cyclical downturn hitting copper and aluminum, and it could be fully valued on our below-consensus metal price estimates 


Rio Tinto: Production in Q3/25 Robust, Metal Price Risks Remain

Rio Tinto Ltd

Rio Tinto: Production in Q3/25 Robust, Metal Price Risks Remain