Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Shin-Etsu Chemical (4063 JP) Salutary Earnings, Conservative Forecasts, and Another Buyback

Shin-Etsu Chemical (4063) - OK Earnings, OK Forecast, But Ground-Breaking Buyback

[Japan Buybacks] ShinEtsu Chem (4063) - How the FCSR Works

Shin-Etsu – Blowout but Will PVC Prices Sustain?

Shin-Etsu: All Segments Seeing Declines; Earnings Rebound Could Take Longer

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shin-Etsu results were mostly in-line with revenue beating by 5% and OP both within 1% of consensus and just a touch above guidance.</li>
<li>OP was about 6% weaker than our estimate however driven by the Electronic Materials business. </li>
<li>The lack of guidance may worry some investors but trends look positive enough that results should end up materially above consensus.</li>
</ul>


Shin-Etsu results were mostly in-line with revenue beating by 5% and OP both within 1% of consensus and just a touch above guidance.
OP was about 6% weaker than our estimate however driven by the Electronic Materials business. 
The lack of guidance may worry some investors but trends look positive enough that results should end up materially above consensus.


Shin-Etsu – FY23 Could Put Shin-Etsu Within a Step of ¥1trn in OP

Shin Etsu Chemical

Shin-Etsu – FY23 Could Put Shin-Etsu Within a Step of ¥1trn in OP