Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Victor Galliano is an experienced equity banks analyst, having covered Latin America banks and non-bank financials for over 12 years, as well as more recently covering the Italian banks. He has worked in sell side equity research for 30 years in a career spanning Barclays, HSBC, BBVA LatInvest, Barings and NatWest.
Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.
The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Financials & FinTech research

Square X Afterpay: Building A Financial Juggernaut

Square: Afterpay Acquisition a Master Class in Platform Synergies

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afterpay-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26940:1" rel="noopener">Afterpay Touch (APT AU)</a> by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/square-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23755:1" rel="noopener">Square Inc (SQ US)</a>  has been well received by the market</li>
<li>There are great qualities to the deal, including strategic fit and potential synergies</li>
<li>Nonetheless, we believe that there are challenges in the form of credit risks to Afterpay’s Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) model, as well as increased regulatory scrutiny and oversight</li>
<li>Factoring in these risks, and despite the growth potential, we ask is the price right? We look at a number of valuation metrics including PEG</li>
<li>We remain negative on Square even with the growth potential; we would recommend Afterpay shareholders – the key winners in the deal - to cash in their Square shares post deal</li>
<li>Risks to our negative view include faster than expected revenue growth bringing Afterpay into profit, lower than expected BNPL delinquencies and better than expected synergies</li>
</ul>


The acquisition of Afterpay Touch (APT AU) by Square Inc (SQ US)  has been well received by the market
There are great qualities to the deal, including strategic fit and potential synergies
Nonetheless, we believe that there are challenges in the form of credit risks to Afterpay’s Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) model, as well as increased regulatory scrutiny and oversight
Factoring in these risks, and despite the growth potential, we ask is the price right? We look at a number of valuation metrics including PEG
We remain negative on Square even with the growth potential; we would recommend Afterpay shareholders – the key winners in the deal - to cash in their Square shares post deal
Risks to our negative view include faster than expected revenue growth bringing Afterpay into profit, lower than expected BNPL delinquencies and better than expected synergies


Square (SQ US) & Afterpay (APT AX): Is the Price Right?

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Square (SQ US) & Afterpay (APT AX): Is the Price Right?