Happy Sunday, and welcome to my weekly editorial on everything macro and markets.
We are now at the final innings of the inauguration week, and oh boy did it surprise and entertain right about everyone (including me).
From full-blown tariffs from the get-go being the base case, a Trump meme coin being launched into the week and a government sponsored Bitcoin reserve (or at least a clear reference to the crypto space during his first week) to barely any mentioning of crypto, no immediate tariffs on China and very accommodative policies on the fiscal side, which makes the 3% deficit target proposed by Scott Bessent look unrealistic at best.
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