Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

Tencent (700 HK): Decides to Pay Less to Outside Game Distributors

Tencent Breakout and Overhead Trend Inflection Barriers

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q19 Stopped 3-Year Margin Decline, Mobile Game Growth Jumped to 27% from Zero

Tencent (700 HK): Key Game Actually Approved, WeChat Pay Grew Strongly, 27% Upside

Tencent Bull Case: Buy the Online Community Empire, Not Just a Game Operator

Tencent (700 HK): In Fact Benefited from License Suspension

Tencent Bear Case: An Over-Played Hand (Part 2)

Tencent Bear Case: The Growth Illusion (Part 1)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In June, Tencent is hiring recruiting managers, especially for those who familiar with game developers.</li>
<li>In May, the revenues from the new game “Game for Peace” grew rapidly.</li>
<li>Therefore, the game performance in 1Q19 is only about history, but not about the future of Tencent.</li>
<li>Besides, game revenues account for only 1/3 of total revenues.</li>
<li>The 10-year P/E band suggests an upside of 40%. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In June, Tencent is hiring recruiting managers, especially for those who familiar with game developers.
In May, the revenues from the new game “Game for Peace” grew rapidly.
Therefore, the game performance in 1Q19 is only about history, but not about the future of Tencent.
Besides, game revenues account for only 1/3 of total revenues.
The 10-year P/E band suggests an upside of 40%. Buy.


Tencent (700 HK): Recruiting “Recruiting Managers” for Recruiting Game Developers